Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-26 0.160531 0.180404 0.201165 0.224417 0.249679 0.276240 0.306225
2025-02-02 0.137467 0.164944 0.195047 0.230289 0.270225 0.313887 0.365038
2025-02-09 0.117621 0.149651 0.186244 0.230745 0.282988 0.341965 0.413145
2025-02-16 0.103409 0.138763 0.180699 0.233428 0.297238 0.371240 0.462785
2025-02-23 0.094780 0.133344 0.180622 0.241797 0.317753 0.407839 0.521560
2025-03-02 0.082999 0.122582 0.172761 0.239575 0.324644 0.427751 0.560447
2025-03-09 0.074039 0.114464 0.167330 0.239587 0.333692 0.449968 0.602172
2025-03-16 0.065904 0.106574 0.161396 0.238223 0.340439 0.469023 0.639990
2025-03-23 0.061099 0.102808 0.160540 0.243208 0.355209 0.498244 0.690918
2025-03-30 0.055326 0.097050 0.156413 0.243310 0.363218 0.518679 0.730816
2025-04-06 0.050139 0.091646 0.152311 0.243020 0.370396 0.537908 0.769270
2025-04-13 0.045128 0.086017 0.147421 0.241193 0.375150 0.553775 0.803385
2025-04-20 0.041341 0.082158 0.145114 0.243252 0.385778 0.578354 0.850449
2025-04-27 0.039254 0.080893 0.146607 0.250846 0.404348 0.614049 0.913064
2025-05-04 0.035909 0.077156 0.143984 0.252093 0.413776 0.637361 0.959397
2025-05-11 0.033329 0.074488 0.142825 0.255394 0.426139 0.664871 1.011849
2025-05-18 0.032154 0.074229 0.145493 0.264607 0.447328 0.705049 1.082311
2025-05-25 0.028927 0.069827 0.141014 0.262363 0.451339 0.720996 1.119471
2025-06-01 0.026427 0.066539 0.138149 0.262453 0.458712 0.741719 1.163488
2025-06-08 0.023921 0.062955 0.134504 0.261033 0.463614 0.758853 1.202612
2025-06-15 0.022675 0.061805 0.135030 0.266404 0.479013 0.791385 1.263944
2025-06-22 0.020774 0.059063 0.132506 0.266527 0.486160 0.811902 1.308389
2025-06-29 0.018984 0.056353 0.129836 0.266224 0.492530 0.831286 1.351402